Military analyst Elliot Chodoff says the Israeli public’s behavior this past holiday week indicates that Palestinian terror has lost:
When Hamas founder Sheikh Ahmed Yassin was killed by an Israeli missile, the criticism of the action was heavily seasoned with warnings that this would simply lead to another, heightened, round of Middle East violence. According to this logic, Hamas would now really, really try to launch terrorist attacks against Israel, in revenge for Yassin’s death, as opposed to the mere dozens it was attempting during the quiet period preceding his elimination.
Coupled naturally with the dire warnings were admonitions that travel to and in Israel had now become impossibly dangerous, so much so that a Spanish basketball team chose to forfeit a critical game rather than risk their lives coming to play in Tel Aviv.
We argued at the time that it was all a lot of nonsense. Terrorism would not increase, as the terrorist organizations were already operating at their full operational potential and attacks were being prevented by successful operations by the IDF and other security agencies. While the possibility of a successful attack remains a reality today, with the certainty that it will be attributed to the killing of Yassin, the fact remains that there has been no major terrorist success in the three weeks since Yassin was killed.